CHICAGO INDUSTRIAL MARKET
George Cibula
The Chicago industrial market is wading through a down market that started
in late 2000. However, parts of the market have remained vibrant because
of low interest rates available to investors and users. The difference
between this real estate recession and the one we suffered through in
1989 to 1992 is that there is money available in this recession,
says George Cibula, president of Elmhurst, Illinois-based Darwin Realty
& Development Corporation.
One source of money is from REITs, which are active in
both developing and acquiring properties. Some major purchases include
Scarlato and Sons acquisition of older warehouse facilities in the
suburbs of Bellwood, Melrose Park, Northlake and Broadview; Duke Realty
Corporations purchase of the Inland Container property on Grand
Avenue and Interstate 294 in Northlake; and Opus North Corporation and
Cohen Financials joint venture purchase of the Zenith television
manufacturing plant at 25th and North avenues in Melrose Park.
Currently, REITs and other private investment groups
are anxiously pursuing 20- to 25-year-old industrial buildings. For example,
in December, CenterPoint Properties Trust purchased an 875,000-square-foot
package of six multi-tenant industrial buildings located in Bensenville,
Hodgkins, Waukegan and Libertyville. The buildings were purchased from
Benack, LLC and Hop2, LLC.
Another source of available money is from diverted stock
market funds. Currently, investors are finding the 5 percent or
7 percent annual returns for real estate positively glowing compared to
the double-digit negative returns of the stock market in the past 36 months,
Cibula says.
Recently, the most significant market trend is the softening
of rental rates in all product sizes, while the sale prices on a per-square-foot
basis continue to rise. The rental rates are falling because low interest
rates are available to refinance older buildings. This trend enables landlords
to either hold down or eliminate annual increases or lower rents from
the tenants last lease while the landlord maintains his cash flow
due to lower mortgage debt service.
Prices of new product are rising since construction costs
have escalated due to increased government bureaucracy and land costs,
but buyers can afford these higher per-square-foot costs due to 5 percent
and 6 percent long-term interest rates. As an investment, industrial
real estate in the Chicago metro market has never had more buyers,
Cibula says. New buildings with long-term tenants have always been
an easy sell at top rates.
The two most important developments in the Chicago metropolitan
industrial market are CenterPoint Properties Trusts development
of 2,000 acres in Elwood and Union Pacific Railroads development
of 1,500 acres in Rochelle.
The Elwood development has at its core a 600-acre railroad
intermodal yard operated by the Burlington Northern/Santa Fe Railroad,
which is on schedule to be fully operational by the end of 2003. This
yard will double Burlington Northern Railroads capacity to move
overseas containers from the West Coast to Chicago, which is a third of
the cost of moving a 53-foot container the same distance by truck. This
should increase the truck traffic from Chicago to those markets not served
by the West Coast and Midwest railroads, like Detroit, Indianapolis and
Columbus, Ohio.
The Union Pacific Railroads development is slated
for completion in late 2004 or early 2005. The Rochelle facility is also
an intermodal yard with an emphasis on overseas container traffic from
West Coast ports. This development ensures truck terminals and high velocity
warehouses will be built in this area, since a similar pattern has emerged
around the BNSF Railroad yard in Elwood. These two new railroad/container
yards will influence where the new truck terminals and the new large distribution
warehouses will be located for the next 25 years, Cibula says.
Some of the developers that have recently entered the
Chicago market are Clayco Construction Company of St. Louis, which is
currently building a 900,000-square-foot warehouse for Solo Cup/Sweetheart
Cup in University Park. USAA Realty will own the facility. Clayco has
also purchased substantial acreage near the Union Pacific Railroad yard.
Dermody Properties of Reno, Nevada, has purchased enough
land near the Union Pacific Railroad intermodal yard to construct four,
300,000-square-foot warehouse buildings. When the yard gets closer to
completion, Dermody will start work on a speculative building.
Panattoni Development had a strong entrance into the
market by arranging the purchase of AMLIs industrial assets. In
the transaction, Prudential Insurance Company acquired the leased buildings
and Panattoni received hundreds of acres of developable land.
In the past 12 months, Central American Warehouse Company
has absorbed the most industrial space in the market. It leased the 700,000-square-foot,
former Montgomery Ward warehouse on 115th Street in Romeoville and leased
650,000 square feet from Northern Builders at Carlow Development, off
Weber Road, in Bolingbook.
The overall industrial vacancy is between 9 percent and
10 percent. That rate is evenly spread among all types of product
flex space, distribution facilities and manufacturing space. The types
of tenants Chicago area landlords are attempting to attract are more varied
than anywhere else in the United States. One segment of the industrial
market that is healthy is the food manufacturing and distribution sector,
with 11 food vendors recently signing leases of 120,000 square feet or
greater.
Rental rates for new buildings larger than 150,000 square
feet are as low $3 per square foot. Rates for the new buildings between
100,000 square feet and 150,000 square feet range from $3.50 and $3.90
per square foot. New buildings less than 100,000 square feet range from
$4 and $6 per square foot depending on location. Rates for buildings older
than 15 years range from $2.50 and $2.75 per square foot depending on
the pain threshold of the particular landlord. Many of the landlords
who own older buildings have refinanced at rates that have reduced their
mortgage debt, and they have been willing to pass some of those savings
on to tenants to retain tenants in a competitive market, Cibula
says.
©2003 France Publications, Inc. Duplication
or reproduction of this article not permitted without authorization
from France Publications, Inc. For information on reprints of
this article contact Barbara
Sherer at (630) 554-6054.
|